Don Moore, Professor

Closed (1) Debiasing Probability Forecasts - The Limitations of Hindsight

Applications for Fall 2018 are now closed for this project.

Have you ever heard the phrase "Hindsight is always 20/20?" Recent research suggests it may not be as robust as previously believed. In brief, the Hindsight Bias occurs when, after the outcome of an event is already known, individuals claim to be more confident than they would have been if they hadn't known the outcome in the first place.

In what was originally a project seeking to make predictions of future probabilities more accurate, we are now studying when Hindsight Bias fails, and what could be the cause of the failure. Initial results suggest that large categories of 'facts' such as sporting events, do not lead to the same hindsight bias other domains of knowledge display, such as general knowledge facts. This project investigates the boundaries of hindsight, and the possible attributes that can inhibit this well-known and well-documented bias in decision making.



Research apprentices in our lab will gain experience with various aspects of the research process such as:
- Conducting literature searches through online library sources
- Collecting and analyzing data
- Proofreading research materials and papers

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As a member of The Accuracy Lab, you will contribute to tasks and lab meetings about multiple projects that are related to how people make decisions. Positions are available only to those who can commit two semesters to working with lab.

Students from all majors with an interest in Psychology, Cognitive Science, Computer Science, Decision Making, Behavioral Economics, and/or Organizational Behavior are encouraged to apply. We are especially interested in students who are considering applying to graduate school to do research in Psychology, Organizational Behavior, or Management (not an MBA). Our lab focuses on research.

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Qualifications:
1) Interested in the conduct of science
2) Motivated, conscientious, and eager to learn

Required:
- Excellent oral and written communication skills
- Superb attention to detail
- Ability to collaborate well with others
- Ability to lead a room of participants through experiments

Preferable (not required):
- Coursework on psychology research design and basic statistics and
- Experience conducting experimental research
- Familiarity with statistical analyses using R or SPSS

Day-to-day supervisor for this project: Derek Schatz, Graduate Student

Qualifications: see above

Weekly Hours: 9-11 hrs

Closed (2) The World of Bias in Decision Making

Closed. This professor is continuing with Spring 2018 apprentices on this project; no new apprentices needed for Fall 2018.

People make mistakes in their decision making every day. We seek to understand why these mistakes happen and how people can overcome them to become better and more accurate decision makers.

Research apprentices in our lab will gain experience with many aspects of the research process such as:
- Conducting experiments
- Conducting literature searches through online library sources
- Obtaining permission to conduct research with human participants
- Paying participants
- Collecting and analyzing data
- Proofreading research materials and papers

************************
As a member of The Accuracy Lab, you will contribute to tasks and lab meetings about multiple projects that are related to how people make decisions. Positions are available only to those who can commit two semesters to working with lab.

Students from all majors with an interest in Psychology, Cognitive Science, Computer Science, Decision Making, Behavioral Economics, and/or Organizational Behavior are encouraged to apply. We are especially interested in students who are considering applying to graduate school to do research in Psychology, Organizational Behavior, or Management (not an MBA). Our lab focuses on research.

************************

Qualifications:
1) Interested in how people think and make decisions
2) Motivated, conscientious, and eager to learn

Required:
- Excellent oral and written communication skills
- Superb attention to detail
- Ability to collaborate well with others
- Ability to lead a room of participants through experiments

Preferable (not required):
- Coursework on psychology research design and basic statistics and
- Experience conducting experimental research
- Familiarity with statistical analyses using R or SPSS



Day-to-day supervisor for this project: Derek Schatz, Graduate Student

Qualifications: see above

Weekly Hours: 9-11 hrs

Related website: http://learnmoore.org/

Closed (3) The Many Faces of Overconfidence (Accuracy Lab)

Applications for Fall 2018 are now closed for this project.

Have you ever scored lower on a test than you expected,
lost a competition to a competitor you thought you’d trounce,
been certain about a fact only to have google prove you incorrect?

People are frequently overconfident. Understanding overconfidence can help us become more accurate about our self-perceptions.

Researchers have studied overconfidence in basically three different ways:
- Overestimation is thinking you're better than you are.
- Overplacement is thinking that you're better than others when you're not.
- Overprecision is being too sure you know the truth.

These three different manifestations of overconfidence have a panoply of fascinating consequences on human judgment and behavior. The lab's ongoing research examines the circumstances under which people display different forms of overconfidence, and when they are underconfident. The results identify important consequences for human decisions, organizations, and markets.



Research apprentices in our lab will gain experience with many aspects of the research process such as:
- Conducting experiments
- Conducting literature searches through online library sources
- Obtaining permission to conduct research with human participants
- Paying participants
- Collecting and analyzing data
- Proofreading research materials and papers

************************
As a member of The Accuracy Lab, you will contribute to tasks and lab meetings about multiple projects that are related to how people make decisions. Positions are available only to those who can commit two semesters to working with lab.

Students from all majors with an interest in Psychology, Cognitive Science, Computer Science, Decision Making, Behavioral Economics, and/or Organizational Behavior are encouraged to apply. We are especially interested in students who are considering applying to graduate school to do research in Psychology, Organizational Behavior, or Management (not an MBA). Our lab focuses on research.

************************

Qualifications:
1) Interested in how people think and make decisions
2) Motivated, conscientious, and eager to learn

Required:
- Excellent oral and written communication skills
- Superb attention to detail
- Ability to collaborate well with others
- Ability to lead a room of participants through experiments

Preferable (not required):
- Coursework on psychology research design and basic statistics and
- Experience conducting experimental research
- Familiarity with statistical analyses using R or SPSS


Day-to-day supervisor for this project: Derek Schatz, Graduate Student

Qualifications: Tasks will include all aspects of the research process such as: - Conducting experiments - Conducting literature searches through online and library sources - Obtaining permission to conduct research with human participants - Paying participants - Preparing research materials, including programming web sites and copying paper materials - Proofreading research materials and papers ************************ As a member of The Accuracy Lab, you will contribute to tasks and lab meetings about multiple projects that are related to how people make decisions. Positions are available only to those who can commit two semesters to working with lab. We are especially interested in students who are considering applying to graduate school to do research in Psychology, Organizational Behavior, or Management (not an MBA). Our lab focuses on Organizational Behavior and our research work does not offer vocational training. - Please indicate in your application that you are applying for: Overconfidence ************************ Qualifications: We seek research apprentices who are motivated, conscientious, and eager to learn. Required: - Excellent oral and written communication skills - Superb attention to detail - Ability to collaborate well with others - Ability to lead a room of participants through experiments Preferable (not required): - Coursework on psychology research design and basic statistics and - Experience conducting experimental research - Experience with statistical tests and programs such as R or SPSS - Web programming experience

Weekly Hours: 9-11 hrs

Related website: http://learnmoore.org/