Don Moore, Professor

Closed (1) The Many Faces of Overconfidence (Accuracy Lab)

Applications for Fall 2019 are now closed for this project.

Have you ever scored lower on a test than you expected,
lost a competition to a competitor you thought you’d trounce,
been certain about a fact only to have Google prove you incorrect?

People are frequently overconfident. Understanding overconfidence can help us become more accurate about our self-perceptions.

Researchers have studied overconfidence in basically three different ways:
- Overestimation is thinking you're better than you are.
- Overplacement is thinking that you're better than others when you're not.
- Overprecision is being too sure you know the truth.

These three different manifestations of overconfidence have a panoply of fascinating consequences on human judgment and behavior. The lab's ongoing research examines the circumstances under which people display different forms of overconfidence, and when they are underconfident. The results identify important consequences for human decisions, organizations, and markets.

Research apprentices in our lab will gain experience with many aspects of the research process such as:
- Conducting experiments
- Conducting literature searches through online library sources
- Obtaining permission to conduct research with human participants
- Paying participants
- Collecting and analyzing data
- Proofreading research materials and papers

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As a member of The Accuracy Lab, you will contribute to tasks and lab meetings about multiple projects that are related to how people make decisions. Positions are available only to those who can commit at least two semesters to working with lab.

Students from all majors with an interest in Psychology, Cognitive Science, Computer Science, Decision Making, Behavioral Economics, and/or Organizational Behavior are encouraged to apply. We are especially interested in students who are considering applying to graduate school to do research in Psychology, Organizational Behavior, or Management (not an MBA). Our lab focuses on research.

Day-to-day supervisor for this project: Amelia Dev, Staff Researcher

Qualifications: Qualifications: We seek research apprentices who are motivated, conscientious, and eager to learn. Required: - Excellent oral and written communication skills - Superb attention to detail - Ability to collaborate well with others - Ability to lead a room of participants through experiments - Interest in psychological science Preferable (not required): - Coursework on psychology research design and basic statistics - Experience conducting experimental research - Experience with statistical tests and programs such as R or SPSS - Web programming experience

Weekly Hours: 9-11 hrs

Related website: http://learnmoore.org/

Closed (2) The World of Bias in Decision Making

Applications for Fall 2019 are now closed for this project.

People make mistakes in their decision making every day. We seek to understand why these mistakes happen and how people can overcome them to become better and more accurate decision makers.

Research apprentices in our lab will gain experience with many aspects of the research process such as:
- Conducting experiments
- Conducting literature searches through online library sources
- Obtaining permission to conduct research with human participants
- Paying participants
- Collecting and analyzing data
- Proofreading research materials and papers

************************
As a member of The Accuracy Lab, you will contribute to tasks and lab meetings about multiple projects that are related to how people make decisions. Positions are available only to those who can commit at least two semesters to working with lab. NOTE: With this project specifically, knowledge of R is required.

Students from all majors with an interest in Psychology, Cognitive Science, Computer Science, Decision Making, Behavioral Economics, and/or Organizational Behavior are encouraged to apply. We are especially interested in students who are considering applying to graduate school to do research in Psychology, Organizational Behavior, or Management (not an MBA). Our lab focuses on research.

Day-to-day supervisor for this project: Sandy Campbell, Graduate Student

Qualifications: Qualifications: 1) Interested in how people think and make decisions 2) Motivated, conscientious, and eager to learn Required: - Proficient in R (especially wrt data visualization) - Excellent oral and written communication skills - Superb attention to detail - Ability to collaborate well with others - Ability to lead a room of participants through experiments - Interest in psychological science Preferable (not required): - Coursework on psychology research design and basic statistics - Experience conducting experimental research

Weekly Hours: 9-11 hrs

Related website: http://learnmoore.org/

Closed (3) Uncertainty in Estimates of Physical Constants

Applications for Fall 2019 are now closed for this project.

We plan to conduct a study on uncertainty surrounding published estimates of physical constants. In Spring 2020, we expect to initiate work on this project by collecting confidence intervals around published estimates of physical constants, with the ultimate goal of assessing whether researchers show overconfidence in their estimates of physical constants. We are looking for URAP candidates to help us to identify physical constants (published in the last ~30 years) that might work for this project. There may be additional work involving data collection and analyses.

For more background on this project, consider reading the following paper:
Assessing uncertainty in physical constants by Henrion and Fischhoff (1986):
http://www.cmu.edu/epp/people/faculty/research/Fischoff-Henrion-Assessing%20uncertainty%20in%20physical%20constants.pdf

Research apprentices in our lab will gain experience with many aspects of the research process such as:
- Conducting experiments and collecting data
- Conducting literature searches through online library sources
- Obtaining permission to conduct research with human participants
- Collecting and analyzing data
- Proofreading research materials and papers

************************
As a member of The Accuracy Lab, you will contribute to tasks and lab meetings about multiple projects that are related to how people make decisions. Positions are available only to those who can commit at least two semesters to working with lab.

Students from all majors with an interest in Psychology, Cognitive Science, Computer Science, Decision Making, Behavioral Economics, and/or Organizational Behavior are encouraged to apply. For this project, we are particularly interested in any URAP candidates with an interest in both psychological research and physics. Physics majors or minors are encouraged to apply.

Day-to-day supervisor for this project: Amelia Dev, Staff Researcher

Qualifications: Qualifications: 1) Interested in how people think and make decisions 2) Motivated, conscientious, and eager to learn Required: - Excellent oral and written communication skills - Superb attention to detail - Ability to collaborate well with others - Interest in psychological science - Basic coursework in physics, at least at the undergraduate level Preferable (not required): - Coursework on psychology research design and basic statistics - Experience conducting experimental research - Familiarity with statistical analyses using R or SPSS

Weekly Hours: 9-11 hrs

Related website: http://learnmoore.org/